Sunday, May 24, 2020

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Ordinary Zambians and Covid 19


impact of covid 19 on livelihoods


There has never been a disease that has raised so much dust, and that for a genuine reason, as the Covid 19 pandemic. There is so much propaganda circulating on social media and the internet generally concerning its origin and the purported culprits behind this menace that you literally know not what to believe. 

There is so much finger-pointing and counter finger-pointing you wonder what is going on. Could it be true that some people might be responsible for the spread and escalation of major epidemics and ultimately cause death through such sinister manoeuvres? If at all they were, what could be the idea behind the escalation of such contagious and fatal epidemics as corona virus around the world? Why should someone promote research, if the assertions are true, on viruses that have a high risk and possibility of spreading from animals to humans? Have the so called scientists purportedly behind this sad development turned into vultures whose major delight is in the demise of their fellow human beings? Whether the above assertions are true or not, one thing we all agree with is that the advent of the Corona virus pandemic has brought untold suffering around the world. The pandemic has caught most nations, the world over, off-guard and ill-prepared to contain its relentless onslaught.

Corona virus linked to bats


Whether the assertions are mere propaganda (conspiracy theories) or have some truth in them, only parties responsible for the pandemic could know (if at all they are there). Certain publications are insinuating that some entities engaged in risky research on corona viruses might have triggered this pandemic.

Corona virus and gain-of-function research


The background to the above assertion is the gain- of- function research on bat corona viruses that was funded by the National Institute for Allergy and Infectious Diseases. The research was conducted at the Wuhan Institute of virology.

Gain-of-function (GOF) research involves experimentation that aims or is expected to increase the transmissibility and/or virulence of pathogens. Such research,when conducted by responsible scientists, usually aims to improve understanding of disease causing agents, their interaction with human hosts, and/or their potential to cause pandemics. The ultimate objective of such research is to better inform public health and preparedness efforts and/or development of medical countermeasures. Despite these important potential benefits, GOF research (GOFR) can pose risks regarding biosecurity and biosafety. GOFR is a subset of “dual-use research”—i.e., research that can be used for both beneficial and malevolent purposes.

 

Containment measures


So much about the backdrop to the Covid 19 pandemic! I am of the view that the aftermath of this outbreak deserves more urgent attention than its historical origin due to its inherent potential to disrupt our social and economic life.  Of course the immediate impact of the pandemic is the spread of disease and unfortunately death in some cases, but there are also long term impacts which include various side effects of containment measures.
What has made the above scenario even worse is the fact that even the well-meant containment measures seem to be contributing to the problem somehow. This is more so when we consider the fact that people’s livelihoods are threatened in profound ways in a bid to contain the spread of this menace.

Containment measures and disparities


Death by itself has a lot of negative implications both at family and national level in that it may mean the loss of our loved ones, our bread winner or indeed our most valuable resource who can hardly be replaced. Though the pandemic may seem like a great leveller in that everyone regardless of their status in life are treated at home (no more evacuation for specialist treatment abroad) once they fall sick, yet it  has widened the disparity between the ‘haves’ and ‘have-nots’. This becomes more apparent when we consider containment measures like mobility restrictions, stay-at-home and lock downs, and their effect on people's livelihoods. It is those who rely on a daily income for survival who are affected the most.

Covid 19 and informal sector


An overwhelming majority of employed Zambians (88.7%) work in the informal sector (Tassot et al., 2018:7).  This means that most containment measures are biased against a larger proportion of the Zambian work force. It is quite obvious that most informal workers do not have any kind of legal or social protection whatsoever and as such are more adversely affected by measures aimed at curbing the spread of the pandemic. For instance while the cost of living has risen, few informal workers can earn a reasonable livelihood to adequately meet their daily needs with the current restrictions in place. Moreover, most government interventions are naturally targeted at the formal sector since they are registered, well-established and recognized by the powers that be. 

Response to covid 19


Recently the Zambian government announced fiscal measures intended to reduce the impact of Covid 19 on the economy. Though the common people (mostly those in the informal sector and the unemployed) will ultimately benefit from these policy interventions due to multiplier effects, the immediate beneficiary is the formal sector as can be seen from the measures themselves.  It is yet to be seen what the newly introduced fiscal measures will do to relieve the impact of the pandemic and what will be done to cushion people in the informal sector. Piecemeal interventions like the distribution of food and other necessities to the vulnerable have their own place in relief measures but their impact is not long lasting. What are needed are measures whose impact is sustainable  and will be felt for the long term.  
 
The new normal

Following the announcement by the World Health Organization's special envoy for covid 19 that people have to learn to live with the pandemic and that the pandemic will be around for some time, some countries including Zambia are considering easing restrictions on mobility. This seems to be a plausible move considering the fact that most ordinary people, especially those in the informal sector, are economically disadvantaged by  the current containment measures. However early warning  and response systems have to be put in place to contain the spread of the pandemic.
Moreover, apart from adhering to various health guidelines, sensitization programs need to be continued or even scaled up to check a possible rise in new infections. With or without the pandemic, people have to continue working to earn a living or their plight and that of the economy will just worsen!  







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